Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.048631 0.052912 0.057252 0.061974 0.066958 0.072057 0.077659
2025-03-23 0.042391 0.048679 0.055281 0.062704 0.070790 0.079305 0.088922
2025-03-30 0.037541 0.045262 0.053628 0.063306 0.074130 0.085803 0.099283
2025-04-06 0.033135 0.041831 0.051533 0.063050 0.076236 0.090754 0.107840
2025-04-13 0.030553 0.040170 0.051178 0.064535 0.080129 0.097593 0.118461
2025-04-20 0.027210 0.037299 0.049149 0.063845 0.081333 0.101240 0.125374
2025-04-27 0.024871 0.035423 0.048111 0.064154 0.083566 0.105975 0.133477
2025-05-04 0.023301 0.034355 0.047926 0.065382 0.086807 0.111841 0.142882
2025-05-11 0.022280 0.033886 0.048404 0.067357 0.090912 0.118717 0.153500
2025-05-18 0.019498 0.030914 0.045550 0.065031 0.089632 0.119051 0.156261
2025-05-25 0.017799 0.029266 0.044283 0.064603 0.090609 0.122044 0.162164
2025-06-01 0.016179 0.027607 0.042899 0.063932 0.091204 0.124515 0.167399
2025-06-08 0.015639 0.027472 0.043570 0.065990 0.095348 0.131487 0.178314
2025-06-15 0.014817 0.026873 0.043574 0.067148 0.098343 0.137061 0.187568
2025-06-22 0.013953 0.026150 0.043361 0.067984 0.100910 0.142107 0.196205
2025-06-29 0.012842 0.024975 0.042449 0.067822 0.102135 0.145445 0.202721
2025-07-06 0.012362 0.024740 0.042849 0.069439 0.105704 0.151775 0.213021
2025-07-13 0.011251 0.023424 0.041620 0.068742 0.106154 0.154090 0.218256
2025-07-20 0.010516 0.022662 0.041158 0.069082 0.107968 0.158151 0.225707
2025-07-27 0.010090 0.022380 0.041385 0.070382 0.111073 0.163890 0.235319
2025-08-03 0.009888 0.022464 0.042159 0.072464 0.115259 0.171064 0.246810
2025-08-10 0.008614 0.020591 0.039852 0.070019 0.113165 0.169961 0.247625
2025-08-17 0.007900 0.019652 0.038945 0.069569 0.113794 0.172422 0.253030